Rain rain — the red clay
The winds of change, leaves falling
A glass of champagne
There’s rain in the forecast. Conditions could be tricky for all four.
Rafa and Djoker have already reserved their spot in the final, in the popular tennis imagination. They are heavily favored to win their respective matches.
The likelihood of a Djokodal final is practical certainty. What more needs to be said?
Thiem has all kinds of clay game and confidence, seems to be peaking and likely could be ready to make that next step in his champion’s trajectory. But he’s playing a very motivated Novak Djokovic.
As I said, only Rafa or an utterly ascendant Thiem can trouble the Serb. Does even a brilliant Domi have the will to win three sets against the Serb? He would need to break Novak’s will, unless he can simply out play him in five. Bo5 brilliance, despite his progression at the French the last few years, is still uncharted water for Thiem.
We beliem in Thiem, but the Serb looks too complete. Let them fight to the finish.
Nadal is the king of clay, seems to have plenty of reserve in the tank, which means he will be ready to die on Philippe-Chatrier, where his legacy has thrived since it’s 2005 inception.
Federer remembers well his Roland Garros scars, the embarrassments. Other even non-clay losses to Rafa all have their genesis here, on Chatrier.
He has beaten Rafa the last six times, but there’s very little chance this even partially, even minimally eclipses the many many losses he’s sustained to Nadal.
My qualification of Nadal’s superiority in tomorrow’s semi-final clash with Federer is the weather and Ljubičić. Federer’s win streak against Nadal involves the Croat’s influence. We have discussed this at-length.
I have to give that credit. Along with Federer’s recent play, despite the age and his trouble with power (see Thiem, Wawrinka, Djokovic, etc.), he hopefully plays the Spaniard tough.
However, a Djokodal final has to be the thesis of this draw; none the less, we understand and welcome the complication of said argument.
Enjoy the tennis, folks.